In brief
According to a supercomputer, Liverpool will win the Premier League title by a significantly smaller margin in 2025–2026.
With promoted Leeds, Burnley, and Sunderland facing difficulties, relegated teams may find it difficult to remain up again.
While the Champions League spots stay the same, Tottenham and Manchester United are predicted to move up the standings.
The 2025–26 Premier League standings has already been forecasted by a supercomputer ahead of the hectic summer transfer window. Everyone thought Manchester City would win the English league again last season, but Liverpool, under new manager Arne Slot, ended up winning their 20th English league title handily and regaining their position as the most successful team in the nation.
Those who predicted that Arsenal would finish second did not receive bonus points because they had already accomplished that accomplishment three times in a row, although Pep Guardiola’s team’s final-season performance nearly earned third place. Other stories included Manchester United and Tottenham having their worst league seasons since the 1992 rebranding, and Nottingham Forest’s unexpected run to European qualification.
Even though the aforementioned is still very much in the past, football never sleeps, and projections for the upcoming term are already being made. AceOdds’ supercomputer, which has run 100,000 simulations of the league seasons to determine where each team is likely to finish after another exciting 38 games, has put together the forecasts below.
Relegation Zone
All three promoted sides tipped to go straight back down
It is predicted that a troubling trend at the bottom of the standings will persist in the upcoming season. The three promoted teams this season all immediately dropped back down, and if the supercomputer is right, Leeds, Burnley, and Sunderland may follow suit.
The predictions do, however, indicate that this trio will at least fight harder than they did during the hair-tearing campaign of the previous season. With 16 more points than Southampton, Sunderland is predicted to finish last. Although Burnley is predicted to finish in 19th place, they are eight points ahead of Ipswich Town. Leeds, who finished the season with 31 points—six more than Leicester City—will also miss out on survival.
Place
Club
Games
Gains
Draws
Losses
GF
GA
GD
Points
18.
Leeds United
38
8.1
7.6
22.3
35.7
69.2
-33.6
31.9
19.
Burnley
38
7.5
7.4
23.1
34.2
71.1
-36.9
29.9
20.
Sunderland
38
7.0
7.3
23.7
32.8
72.6
-39.8
28.3
Bottom Half: Nottingham Forest regresses, Wolves and West Ham struggle
Given their previous forays into European play, Wolves and West Ham may believe they belong higher up the league. Only two seasons ago, West Ham in particular won the Europa Conference League. With anticipated finishes of 16th and 17th, respectively, both teams are anticipated to return to earth.
With a new stadium, new ownership, and David Moyes starting his first full season since his return, Everton will be looking to turn things around. The supercomputer still predicts a 15th-place result. A anticipated 14th-place finish under Marco Silva is also unlikely to excite Fulham supporters, who were named among the Premier League’s most misled in a recent research.
A predicted 13th-place finish next season will probably act as a reality check as Nottingham Forest attempts to balance European football with local responsibilities, despite being the 2024–25 season’s surprise package. Although Crystal Palace will undoubtedly be proud of how they manage the added challenge of European play after their FA Cup victory earlier this month, Brentford and Crystal Palace would be expected to finish 11th and 12th, respectively.
Place
Club
Games
Gains
Draws
Losses
GF
GA
GD
Points
11.
The Crystal Palace
38
15.2
8.0
14.8
55.1
55.1
0.6
53.6
12.
Brentford
38
14.1
7.8
16.1
54.3
54.3
-5.0
50.2
13.
Forest of Nottingham
38
13.6
8.9
15.5
45.0
45.0
-4.3
49.7
14.
Fulham
38
13.3
8.7
16.0
45.5
45.5
-6.3
48.5
15.
Everton
38
12.4
9.2
16.4
40.2
40.2
-8.7
46.3
16.
West Ham
38
12.6
8.0
17.4
48.1
48.1
-11.5
45.8
17.
Wolves
38
11.3
8.3
18.4
42.7
42.7
-16.3
42.2
Top Half Tottenham and Manchester United get back on track
Even though Tottenham and Manchester United would still be viewed as failures if they finished seventh or eighth, their fans would undoubtedly exhale in relief if either team were to make that kind of ascent by May of next year, adding some formality to their stumbling attempts. It is anticipated that both sleeping giants would gain at least 13 more points in the upcoming season, which should ease the burden on two managers who came very close to losing their jobs in the previous season.
Under Fabian Hurzeler and Andoni Iraola, Brighton and Bournemouth may continue to play visually striking football, but considering how close they were to making it to Europe this time, predicted finishes of ninth and tenth place may feel like a minor dimming of the lights.
Newcastle and Aston Villa, two teams vying for a spot in the “new big six,” are predicted to maintain their position with consecutive fifth and sixth place performances. Thus, Unai Emery’s team would have more Europa League evenings, and the Eddie Howe project—which is demonstrating that patience is a virtue under his mega-rich hierarchy—would probably embark on another Champions League journey.
Place
Club
Games
Gains
Draws
Losses
GF
GA
GD
Points
5.
Newcastle
38
17.7
7.9
12.4
60.9
48.7
12.2
61.0
6.
Villa Aston
38
16.5
8.2
13.2
55.9
48.6
7.3
57.9
7.
Tottenham
38
16.5
7.4
14.1
63.5
57.9
5.6
56.9
8.
United Manchester
38
15.8
8.2
14.0
54.9
51.1
3.8
55.6
9.
The Bournemouth
38
15.9
7.8
14.3
58.1
54.5
3.6
55.6
10.
Brighton
38
15.3
7.9
14.8
56.7
55.8
0.9
53.9
The Top Four
There is no change in the Champions League spots.
A supercomputer has projected a near-perfect replica of this season’s top three, with Liverpool retaining their Premier League title, Manchester City missing out on the championship once more, and Arsenal settling for second place in what may be Pep Guardiola’s final season. But this time, it’s anticipated that the candidates will be significantly closer to one another.
The Reds may be able to maintain their supremacy thanks to their early transfer activity, as Florian Wirtz, Milos Kerkez, and Jeremie Frimpong are all allegedly nearing deals. However, even with the additions, the lead at the top is predicted to narrow to just three points from the 10-point lead they had the previous season, and they are predicted to finish with fewer than 80 points.
With their 10.6 predicted draws to blame, Chelsea is predicted to finish in the top four, seven points behind City, who are likely to finish tied with Arsenal on points.
Place
Club
Games
Gains
Draws
Losses
GF
GA
GD
Points
1.
Liverpool
38
23.7
6.6
7.6
81.2
40.3
40.9
77.9
2.
The Arsenal
38
22.2
7.1
7.8
63.5
31.9
31.6
74.6
3.
City of Manchester
38
22.4
8.1
8.5
75.0
40.9
34.0
74.3
4.
Chelsea
38
19.9
7.5
10.6
68.1
46.1
22.0
67.1
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